2011 Danehill Stakes Form Guide

September 1st, 2011

The 2011 Danehill Stakes for many won’t even require a form guide, the winner is a done deal and it’ll be a case of the more you put on the more you win.

We’re not quite s sure though and might be holding off and loading up all coin on the back of the favourite.

There’s a field of eight after all, when it looked like only four or five would show up that’d probably be a fair option but now things have changed.

At the very least the other are worth a look and especially the couple we’ve picked out below.

We’re not saying Sepoy can’t win the race, just that his supporters may not have the stress free ride they were expecting for the 1200m dash up the Flemington straight.

2011 Danehill Stakes Form Guide

Sepoy

He’s an odds on favourite and deservedly so, this is his race to win and win he probably will. We don’t need to sell his record, dual Group 1 winner including the Golden Slipper, only ever lost one race when second to Smart Missile and the Australian juvenile horse of the year. The query was would he come back as a three year old and he certainly ticked that box, Sepoy simply wins the race….or does he?

Masthead

Well this bloke will run a place, just what that place is remains to be seen. He was fourth in the Golden Slipper and third in the Blue Diamond, both times comfortable beaten by Sepoy. On his side is the fact he hasn’t returned as a three year old yet, that means he has the surprise factor should he have improved dramatically. Chances are he hasn’t and even if he has it won’t be enough, but if it is he may instantly become the most hated horse in the country.

Absalon

Trained on the Sunshine Coast by Jason McLachlan this stubborn Queenslander thinks he can stroll down to Flemington and stick it to the champ after just two career runs. To be fair he won both of those runs but handicaps at Caloundra and Doomben aren’t exactly equivalent to the Golden Slipper. He starts on the inside of Sepoy in the stalls, expect him to shadow the champ the entire way and try and steal a sucker punch win when he’s not expecting it.

Mosheen

On paper this is the obvious second contender given she was runner up in the Golden Slipper, at triple figure odds too might we add. Great run, unexpected run but is it a repeatable run? More importantly could she actually draw closer to him this time around? Get’s a healthy weight advantage and is coming off a strong first up third. Sepoy fans say there’s no way this little filly could match it with their man, however I doubt they’d be willing to offer up three figures about that again either.

Hallowell Belle

This horse has a lot of friends and plenty of those friends are worth having as well. Experts of the game see a bit of ability around this horse and if there’s any ‘smart money’ not going towards Sepoy than this is where you’ll find it. She’s never missed a place and has a closing kick that only seems to be getting better. Two runs back she’s the fittest of the lot (with the exception of 200 to 1 shot Mister Milton). From the outside barrier she’ll slip in behind them undetected and bide her time of a decent pace. If they don’t run she’ll show them how to.

These are the players tasking with bringing down Sepoy, can they do it? Plenty say no but at the end of the day this is horse racing.

By all means back the champ now, the best odds you’ll get are online at Luxbet.

If you’re a dreamer though grab some value and take your pick of the best ‘other’ chance. They have ability no doubt, just how much remains to be seen.

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